New Delhi: Asian Development Bank (ADB) on April 28 projected that Indian economy was poised to grow by 6 per cent this year,
marginally better than South Asia's growth of 5.7 per cent, mainly due to robust growth in services sector and assuming that the monsoon
would be normal.
Citing the recent SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) epidemic, the Manila-based bank, however, said there could
be "substantial negative impact" on several economies of the Asian region.
ADB also said India, which accounts for three-fourth of the South Asian economy, was expected to grow by 6.3 per cent in 2004, again
marginally higher than the sub-region's average of 6.1 per cent.
"Assuming normal monsoon conditions, the Indian economy is projected to grow by six per cent in 2003 with agriculture and services
growing at average rates," ADB assistant chief economist Jean-Pierre A Verbiest said.
Releasing the ADB's "Outlook 2003", he said the services sector was expected to grow by 7.1 per cent, manufacturing by 6.1 per cent
and agriculture would post normal "positive" growth.
In the medium to long term, sustained high growth would require highest investment in capacity creation for the infrastructure development
as well as technology development for improvement in competitiveness, removing rigidities in labour Laws and strong fiscal
consolidation.
Taking note of the combined fiscal deficit of the Centre and the states, which was expected to be 9.5 per cent of the gross domestic
product (GDP), the bank said strong fiscal consolidation was expected after elections in the latter half of 2004 for axing the consolidated
fiscal deficit to nine per cent.
PTI