Mumbai: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Deputy Governor Rakesh Mohan on January 30 said
US-Iraq war threat "is a not a major concern for India's foreign exchange reserves
and any effect on inflation will depend on oil prices but the impact is expected to
be limited".
"Obviously, it (war) will have some effect presumably on the markets worldwide and
forex but given the level of reserves (in excess of USD 72 billion) it is not a major
issue," Mohan told reporters on the sidelines of an annual conference on Money and
Finance in Indian Economy.
The subject of foreign exchange reserves was a very active issue and in recent weeks
there has been a debate on cost of holding such reserves and interest rate
differential
causing arbitrage, he said.
"RBI is studying this issue and expects to come out with its analysis and results by
end of this week," he added.
Referring to impact on inflation in a war situation, he said it would depend on oil
prices "but nobody knows where they will go. The prices in recent past have shot up
from $ 20 per barrel to $ 30 but it had no impact on inflation".
The Indian economy has the resilience as it has withstood both increased oil prices
and drought because of good level of forex reserves and ample food stock, the Deputy
Governor added.
On repayment of multilateral loans worth $ 2.8 billion, he said government would
privately place the bonds with RBI.
Referring to state governments raising bonds for the debt swap arrangement, Mohan
said, "finance ministry has to decide on the amount and we are working on it. Whether
it will
be in FY-03, is for the government to decide".
PTI