United Nations: The recovery of global economy would continue to be anemic, as it
remains hostage to increasing uncertainties and heightening geopolitical tensions in
the Middle East, according to international economists.
A report based on submissions of economists from around the world released by United
Nations ahead of the meeting of project link – a co-operative, non governmental
research jointly co-ordinated by UN and the University of Toronto revised downwards
its earlier estimates of growth in the gross world product from 1.8 to 1.7 per cent
for the current year and from 3.2 to 2.9 per cent for the next year.
The peak of world economic recovery is not expected until mid 2003, said the UN
global economic outlook.
For the South and East Asian region as whole the growth is now projected at 4.4 per
cent down from earlier estimates of 4.5 pr cent for the current year.
It is expected to pick up next year when it is projected to be 5 per cent but still
lower than 5.4 per cent estimated by link in April. It is projected to increase to
5.1 per cent in 2004.
The project estimated that growth of gross domestic product for India (GDP) would
now be 4.7 per cent in the current year against earlier estimates of 5.7 per cent.
Link projected that GDP would grow by 5.5 per cent next year against earlier
projection of 6.4 per cent and by 5.8 per cent in 2004.
China is the only country whose GDP is projected to grow by more than seven per cent
through 2004. The current year's growth is projected at 7.7 per cent against earlier
estimates of 7.2 per cent.
PTI