Islamabad: It may not be as romantic as the 19th Century cloak-and-dagger antics of
British and Russian spies, but May 30 historic move towards laying a gas pipeline
from Turkmenistan to Pakistan is a new phase in the legendary 'Great Game', analysts
say.
"The Great Game related to energy has just begun," Lieutenant General Hameed Gul,
former chief of Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) said.
And while British and Russian adventurers conned and connived for the control of
trade routes in Central Asia, the new players have the modern equivalent in sight,
fuel.
"During the course of time the energy resources of the Gulf states are going to
dwindle and there are going to be enormous resources available in Central Asia,"
said Gul.
"Whoever gets there first obviously has an advantage. This is the game to regulate
the energy resources of Central Asia."
The leaders of Turkmenistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan will sign an agreement towards
opening up the Turkmen gas reserves by laying a pipeline to Pakistan over
Afghanistan.
Pakistani officials said the gas line, a first for the country, is expected to be
followed swiftly by an oil line. The fuel will then be pumped into a thirsty world
economy from Pakistan.
A R Kamal, director of the Pakistan Institute of Development, said it was no
coincidence the agreement comes just months after a new government was installed in
Kabul.
"This development is rather significant," said Kamal, referring to the Memorandum of
Understanding (MoU) set to be inked in Islamabad on May 30.
"If it materialises and the basic problem that was security in Afghanistan is
removed, then it is really a big breakthrough. This project has been there since the
early 1990s but peace and stability in Afghanistan was the main factor which
prevented it."
Gul was convinced America had its eye on controlling global energy resources.
"The American desire at the moment is to capture the 21st Century as the American
Century and they do not want any other power to interfere in their very coveted
position," he said.
"They can obviously then regulate the economy of the world through the energy
tap."
"I think it is not only America's corporate interest of exploiting the energy
resources of Central Asia but there is a strategic implication to this."
He said the players assembled in Islamabad this week, interim Afghan leader Hamid
Karzai, Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf and Turkmen President Saparmurtar
Niyazov, were itching to get the deal done.
"This agreement is coming in a hurry," said Gul.
"They are in a hurry so that a treaty could be concluded before a new government is
installed in Afghanistan."
But he warned not everyone may play by the rules.
"It is a very messy game and it has just started, and let's see how it ends," he
said.