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Home -> Finance -> Full Story
'East Asian economies growing faster than expected'
Monday, April 1 2002 15:31 Hrs (IST)

Manila: East Asian economies are moving from last year's sharp and synchronised slowdown to a faster-than-expected but moderate rebound, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) said on April 1.

But the Manila-based bank warned in its latest economic analysis of the region that the positive outlook could be marred by a weaker rebound in the United States and a possible extension of the US-led anti-terrorism operations to the Middle East.

On the domestic front, East Asian economies could strengthen regional recovery by supporting demand through further interest rate cuts and easing fiscal policy, said the bank's quarterly economic review of East Asia.

"Based on available economic indicators, many of East Asia's economies have started to pick up, lifted by stronger domestic demand and renewed business confidence," the report said. "Exports are also starting to turn around."

Overall improvements in economic prospects have also led to upward revisions in the 2002 growth forecast for East Asian economies analysed by the The economies comprised China, South Korea and the 10 states of the Association of Southeast Asian nations (ASEAN) -- Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

The ADB report would be tabled at a meeting of Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) finance deputies in Myanmar's capital Yangon this weekend ahead of talks among the region's finance ministers, ADB officials said.

ADB has been supporting a "surveillance process" for ASEAN after the region was hit by its worst financial crisis in 1997.

Last year, East Asia suffered weak to negative economic growth due to a significant drop in demand for the region's exports stemming from a synchronised slowdown in the industrial countries led by the United States and the collapse of the information technology industry worldwide.

The ADB report on April 1 forecast 2002 growth for China at 7.2 percent, Vietnam at 5.7 percent, Laos 5.0 percent, Indonesia 3.1 percent, Thailand 2.8 percent, South Korea 4.7 percent Cambodia 4.5 percent, Singapore 3.8 percent and Malaysia and the Philippines at 3.6 percent each.

It warned however of "certain risks and uncertainties" that could dampen growth in the region this year, citing, among others, the possibility of 2002 growth in the United States turning to be lower than the expected 2.1 per cent.

Another risk factor cited was higher crude oil prices from a possible spillover of the ongoing US-led anti-terror operations to the Middle East.







AFP
Copyright AFP 2001


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